U.S. Black Friday Retail Tech Sales Decline
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News Analysis. That would be the first time ever, according to NPD. |
No wonder, I'm getting spammed with technology product promotions like no other year everfor online retail. Today, NPD reported that U.S. Black Friday brick-and-mortar retail technology product sales declined 8.4 percent year over year. Spending was less than 2006and that's without adjusting for inflation. Ouch!
Consumers spent $2.03 billion, compared with $2.21 billion a year ago, at brick-and-mortar retail stores. Online Black Friday sales rose 1 percent, according to ComScore. But sales were much lower$534 million.
Black Friday has generally been a day of big promotions, but not this year. ComScore earlier reported big online promotions, and I observed many, but NPD found fewer in stores this year.
"Promos weren't as good, outside of TVs, simply because better pricing would not have brought out more customers," Stephen Baker, NPD's vice president of industry analysis, told me last this afternoon. "If [people] have no money, you can't make prices cheap enough to get people to buy."

NPD surveyed consumers in November and found them in "no rush to spend." In a July survey, 28 percent of consumers said that sales incentives, such as discounts, would affect spending; 29 percent in November. Looked at differently: In July, 34 percent of consumers said sales discounts would make no differenceand 35 percent in November.
So what's the point of offering promotions that won't bring more sales?
Black Friday "deals mimicked a typical weekend sale" rather than kicking off the holiday season, Stephen said. He emphasized that this year's Black Friday tech sales decline is "not a one-time reaction to [economic] circumstances but the beginning of a change in the overall concept" of the day after Thanksgiving.
Consumers are also changing how they shop, and not necessarily by choice. CompUSA and Tweeter are gone. Circuit City has filed for bankruptcy. There are fewer chains from which to buy technology products, outside of home entertainment. Then there is the increasing shift to online shopping, where there are good promotions. Is it no surprise then that Microsoft now operates its own online store? The times they are a changing.
There is one tech category that shines bright with sales: notebooks. Unit shipments rose 19 percent and revenue increased 8 percent on Black Friday, according to NPD. It's also a category where there are promising promotions, even in stores.
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Comments (2)
MS makes most of its money from its two Cash Cows, MS Office and Windows. With the world wide recession, expect sales of MS Office to decline. Businesses may look to OpenOffice or Google Docs more as an replacement. Windows sales, however, are based on the number of PC's sold, since Vista is not really good as an upgrade OS for older hardware.
The number of pc sales is already in decline, with the exception of Netbooks, which MS is in the ackward position of having to compete with Linux, and having to put XP Home on most of these, with a rumored selling price of $16 to the netbooks OEM's. This to forestall netbooks from embracing the Penguin. But selling XP Home so cheaply, has to be hurting the cash cow, in fact its an "udder drag" on the profit margin of windows. And the future of putting Seven or Vista on Netbooks depends more on more powerful Netbooks than it does on a "faster" MS OS, which is non-exsistant despite all the claims about Windows Seven. So yes, the recession will affect the bottom line of MS, which is another reason to hurry the release of Windows Seven.
The biggest problem that MS faces in this recession is from its OEM partners. They more than MS are hurting from the recession and from losing business to Apple Mac due to the poor reception of Vista. It is possible to see some of the weaker OEM's go out of business, it is also possible to see a rebellion by the OEM's to start selling more PC's with Linux or just FreeDos on them, to cut costs.
Another thing to carefully watch is the Pystar case with Apple. OEM's like Dell really would like to put Mac OS X on their computers to sell. This is a possibility of happening, as more court cases start to be forthcoming like the Pystar case. Not to mention the dongle out there that is allowing one to install Mac on a PC. Should Apple wake up, and decide it should raise the price of its Mac OS X, and then license it to say Dell and HP, then the Windows cash cow could just become ground beef.
Posted by chips b malroy | December 15, 2008 1:42 PM
Xbox 360 technical problems
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Xbox_360_technical_problems#Scratched_discs
This is probably the worse product ever made, from the standpoint of hardware engineering, and should be skipped for the competition on your xmas list.
Posted by chips b malroy | December 16, 2008 1:23 PM