Consumers See Green on Black Friday
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Like other Fridays after Thanksgiving, I shopped the shoppers and the deals. Once again, Windows rode the coattails of great notebook deals. |
I didn't find much in the way of direct Windows Vista deals. Best Buy sweetened boxed Vista's appeal, with a free $50 gift card and $10 off Windows Business and Home Premium upgrades.
The real action was Vista preinstalled on laptops. Supposedly, Best Buy offered one eMachines notebook with a 17-inch display for $200 and a Sony laptop for $400, but I didn't see either with my own eyes. Oh, but I looked! The retailer's best notebook value was probably the HP Pavilion dv6607nr, for $449. The now sold-out laptop packs a 1.7GHz AMD Athlon dual-core processor, 15.4-inch wide-screen display, 1GB of RAM, 160GB hard drive, DVD burner and Windows Vista Home Premium.
Fry's offered a perhaps better value for just another $100 more. The HP model had similar specs, but had a 17-inch display. There was such a crowd around the computer that I couldn't see the product number. Fry's Black Friday circular listed one Compaq model, with a Celeron processor, 1GB of RAM and an 80GB hard drive, for $299. But I didn't find it for sale at the local Fry's; the notebook could have sold out quickly for the price.
The local SonyStyle store took a stingier approach, at least compared with other retailers, with $100 off any notebook or $200 off SZ series laptops. Sony's deals brought lower-end models down to about $1,270pricey compared with deals to be had elsewhere.
If my local Circuit City had a big blow-out computer deal, I couldn't find it. Talk of a $399 Toshiba laptop lured me to the local store, but I saw nothing cheaper than a $550 HP model on the store shelves.
Online, Dell's Black Friday promotion was the Vistro 1000 for $399. Windows Basic (aka Home Basic) lightened the value, considering the model normally sells for around $700. Otherwise: a 1.5GHz AMD dual-core processor, 1GB of memory and a 120GB hard drive. The model is sold out, according to Dell's Web site. Vistro 1400 and 1500 models are still available, discounted to $599.
The Vistro models are available with Windows Basic or XP Home. Dell prominently displays the XP "Choice Is Yours" option throughout its Web site. I wouldn't call Windows Basic close to the value of XP Home. Vista buyers could add Home Premium for another $30.
Another, more expensive model stands out. Consumers could choose the Inspiron 1520 for $799after a $345 instant discounteither with Windows Basic or XP Home. The 1520 is a real mixed value for $800. Two gigs of RAM and a 320GB hard drive make for good value, but I wouldn't really recommend the integrated Intel graphics for Vista, particularly when so many retailers offer better graphics for much less.
Lenovo did better in price but not nearly as good in features as Dell or some other retailers. For the early holidays, consumers can buy for $599 the N200, with a 15.4-inch display, an 80GB hard drive, Windows Basic andgasp512MB of RAM. Given the other available deals, the N200 is underpowered for the price.
I also went searching for Zune deals and the elusive Zune 80. Fry's had the deal every UPS spouse should have bought: the 30GB brown Zune for $98. Brown for Brown, it's a steal. I saw lots of excitement around the Zunes at the local Fry's. As I approached, one lady with an East European accent pointed to a 30GB white Zune and demanded, "I want that one!" The store was sold out of white.
Like every other retailer I visited, there were Zune 4s aplenty and pretty good supplies of Zune 8s. But I could find no new Zune 30s anywhere. Best Buy, Circuit City, Fry's and Target all had at least brown Zunes for sale and older pink, red and white 30GB models. As for the Zune 80, it was MIA everywhere I looked in San Diego.
Revealing: Every store's marketing displays showed pictures of the Zune 4, Zune 8, Zune 80 and older 30GB Zunes. What happened to the Zune 30? Methinks Microsoft has got some older inventory to clear outhence Fry's great deal on the brown Zune.
Microsoft's goodwill to customers is shrewd business. The company offers a firmware upgrade that makes the new and old Zune models functionally equivalent. So consumers could buy older or newer 30GB models, based more on appearance than functionalityor availability. The firmware upgrade makes it easier to move older models.
No other store I visited offered any Zune deals, although the local Target had discount signs on the 30GB Zune, down from $250 to $200. I chuckled because Target has sold 30GB Zunes at the lower price for more than a month.
The nearby Best Buy had two 4GB Zune models, one black, on display. But the real action was Sansa. The MP3 kiosk was encircled with SanDisk Sansa players, a good 100 by my count. Could the local Best Buy expect to move even more Sansa players than even iPods?



Comments (13)
So what's more important on the internet? Search? Or transactions?
"In the end, many executives are left wondering how many additional sales they might have made had the site responded normally."
http://www.eweek.com/article2/0,1759,2222015,00.asp?kc=EWRSS03119TX1K0000594
Web Traffic Snarls Sites on Black Friday
By Evan Schuman
November 25, 2007
Lowe's, Macy's, Victoria's Secret and others are hit hardest where it hurts?in the transaction times.
A surge of e-commerce traffic on Thanksgiving night and all day Friday apparently caught several retail giants by surprise, with Lowe's, Macy's and Victoria's Secret especially hard hit.
But they were far from the exception, as almost a third of leading retailers suffered significant slowdowns on Black Friday, according to statistics released this weekend by Keynote Competitive Research, a firm that tracks Web site performance.
Many retailers count on Black Friday to turn their red ink black, but the fact that most slowdowns occurred during the transaction phase of the interactions may have reduced that salvaging effect considerably.
Shawn White, Keynote's director of external operations, said the slowdowns "impacted the product search and check-out processes?and presumably will impact online sales."
The Keynote study added that "the worst performing sites on Black Friday were showing as much as a 400 percent slowdown," which White said "will lead to consumers abandoning a product search or checkout."
Macy's, for example, saw site performance fall off from its typical 12 seconds to about 15 to 20 seconds. "But it's not happening on their homepage," White said. "It's happening when [site visitors] are actually searching the site."
Among some of the other hardest hit e-tailers were Lowe's?which saw a roughly "300 percent decrease in performance," White said. Site performance "used to be 100 percent [rapid response], but it's now fluctuating between 20 percent and 30 percent."
OfficeDepot went from 10 seconds to 25 seconds. Buy.com and Borders also suffered significant slowdowns, White said.
White noted that, in general, homepage performances were good, but that delays crept in later in the purchase process, typically when the site visit moved from product description pages to either search or checkout. That is when sites move transactions to other servers and?quite often?to other sites entirely.
Indeed, some performance degradations may not be the direct fault of the retail site. But White said that major retailers can and should "put pressure on suppliers [and] partners" to optimize their own systems. He added that SLAs (service-level agreements) should include guaranteed response times during holidays and other anticipated high-traffic periods.
A site slowdown?as opposed to an outright outage?can be especially frustrating because steady?and oftentimes sharply rising?sales camouflage the problem. In the end, many executives are left wondering how many additional sales they might have made had the site responded normally.
How long is too long for a site to respond to a mouse click? That depends on the individual shopper and that shopper's patience. White cited the popular 8-second rule, but said that many factors influence how lenient shoppers will be.
Consumers may be willing to wait longer for exclusive products or information, such as the balance of their bank accounts.
Consumers might also be more patient with a graphic-intensive site that has images they truly want to see. Victoria's Secret, for example, experienced a huge slowdown Thursday night?from a 5-second response to a 15-second response?but White speculated that its customers might be more tolerant of delays because they're expecting a more graphic-intensive experience, and the delay is thus worth waiting through.
Predictions for retail generally suggest that 2007 will have one of the weakest years in terms of sales growth since 2002, the worst of the dot-com implosion years.
But the National Retail Federation on Sunday predicted that Monday will show a sharp increase, with "72 million consumers planning to shop online from home or at work tomorrow, up from 60.7 million in 2006 and 59.0 million in 2005." The NRF survey found that 31.9 percent of adults will shop on Cyber Monday, up 17.3 percent over last year.
Posted by I-Man | November 26, 2007 4:10 AM
I-Man,
My god! A post from you without a single "VCSY" in it - what is going on?
Well at least it's as long and relevant to the post as always...
Posted by oh my god! | November 26, 2007 5:02 AM
"I didn't find much in the way of direct Windows Vista deals."
NewEgg is advertising 32-bit OEM Ultimate at $170 and 32-bit OEM Home Premium at $105 with 20% cashback if you pay with paypal. Best price I've seen so far. Anyone seen better?
Posted by Karl | November 26, 2007 10:20 AM
Yes Karl,
Free open source community Linux distros, free to download at distrowatch.com. And without the DRM and the Bloat. On sale everyday.
Posted by chips | November 26, 2007 11:37 AM
As long as that technology gap causes Microsoft to fail to deliver on their proclaimed web vision, the shareholder is speculating Microsoft won't be flown into a blind-sided engagement where the other giants like IBM, Google, Yahoo, Adobe and others suddenly reveal they have permission to sell the technology Microsoft is fighting against.
If you like speculating blind, keep reading only Microsoft material. They're certainly not going to tell you what's going on. It's why Microsoft has been running in stealth mode for over a year now.
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FRIDAY, APRIL 20, 2007
Vertical Computer Systems, Inc. Files Patent Infringement Lawsuit Against Microsoft Corporation
Fort Worth, TX, April 20, 2007 (PRIME NEWSWIRE)? Vertical Computer Systems, Inc. (OTCBB: VCSY)(www.vcsy.com) announced today that on April 18, 2007, Vertical Computer Systems, Inc. filed suit for patent infringement against Microsoft Corp. in the United States District Court for the Eastern District of Texas. VCSY claims that the Microsoft .Net System infringes U.S. Patent No. 6,826,744.
Posted by I-Man | November 26, 2007 12:34 PM
And if you're speculating Microsoft will be able to ship technology that will be able to lift Vista out of the tarpit you find the Windows OS struggling with.
Vista SP1 doesn't solve the problems. And that means Microsoft failed to populate Vista with the XML magic they claimed all along up to the end of 2004. What XML technology was taken from Microsoft at that time? VCSY was granted patent 6826744 and Lucovsky left to go to Google.
So now the shareholder has to speculate that Microsoft won't continue trying to fight the VCSY Siteflash patent and will settle. If the shareholder is wrong and Microsoft decides to fight the patent battle all the way to court, it's going to be 18 more months of this kind of sideways shareprice movement and worse. Worse because there's no speculation that Microsoft's larger competitors DO have technology that slaps Microsoft around.
I say the Microsoft speculators are wrong and they have no information to substantiate their speculations.
Posted by I-Man | November 26, 2007 12:43 PM
"Worse because there's no speculation that Microsoft's larger competitors DO have technology that slaps Microsoft around." - i-man
Ya, but did the competitors pay VCSY money for the tecnology? Or did they come up with something else? If they could come up with something else that does not infringe why is not possible for MS. Or is that others can infringe and VCYS being a patent troll does not care about them they are only going after MS because of ego and money? Someone has to pays for the VCSY CEO jet. Like Eolas making users suffer for a years until they settle with MS. You all owe me money for breathing.
Posted by dsaf | November 26, 2007 1:14 PM
"Microsoft Loses Bid To Overturn $142 Million Patent Judgment"
The court said there was no reason to overturn the jury's finding that 'Microsoft's Windows XP and Office products breached patents' held by Michigan-based z4 Technologies.
Posted by n0neXn0ne | November 26, 2007 1:41 PM
LOL chips, :)
Your post reminds me of the T-Shirt, "The box said 'Requires Windows 2000 or better.' So, I installed Linux."
My day job, Systems Engineer, and my night job, Adjunct CS Professor, require that I be fluent in both Windows and *nix. To that end, I have a small networking lab in my basement. It's made up of older, recycled computers and firewalled on a separate subnet from the rest of my home net. Currently, I have two Windows Server 2003 Enterprise Edition (6 month free trial) boxes configured as parent and child domain controllers and an Ubuntu 7.10 server. Two other boxes typically serve as Windows and Linux desktops or whatever other systems I need to understand. A fifth box typically runs Wireshark under Knoppix.
If a Vista Business COA happened to "fall off a truck" in front of my house, I'd put it on my lab net to observe how it (mis)behaved. I'd be willing to pay a few bucks to do that geek experiment, but certainly not the full cost for a Business license.
Posted by Karl | November 26, 2007 2:08 PM
"Circuit City Offers Laptop, Printer, And Router Bundle For Under $300"
"The Circuit City deal includes an all-in-one printer, a wireless Wi-Fi router, and Norton Internet security software. The Compaq Presario laptop has an 80-Gbyte hard drive and featuresMicrosoft (NSDQ: MSFT)'s Windows Vista operating system."
Posted by n0neXn0ne | November 26, 2007 2:19 PM
Quote:
n0neXn0ne :
"Circuit City Offers Laptop, Printer, And Router Bundle For Under $300"
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And it could be about $50 less than that for $250 by installing Linux and not Vi$ta Ba$ic.
Posted by chips | November 26, 2007 5:22 PM
Its nice to see MS Vista get the reconigition it deserves:
Vista makes the top ten worst products in history list by CNet.
http://crave.cnet.co.uk/gadgets/0,39029552,49293700-10,00.htm
Quotes from the link: "Any operating system that provokes a campaign for its predecessor's reintroduction deserves to be classed as terrible technology. Any operating system that quietly has a downgrade-to- previous-edition option introduced for PC makers deserves to be classed as terrible technology. Any operating system that takes six years of development but is instantly hated by hordes of PC professionals and enthusiasts deserves to be classed as terrible technology.
Windows Vista conforms to all of the above. Its incompatibility with hardware, its obsessive requirement of human interaction to clear security dialogue box warnings and its abusive use of hated DRM, not to mention its general pointlessness as an upgrade, are just some examples of why this expensive operating system earns the final place in our terrible tech list."
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I repeat, TRAIN WRECK.
Posted by chips | November 26, 2007 7:18 PM
Microsoft "learning" from WGA failures, but the lesson should be: kill it
http://arstechnica.com/news.ars/post/20071126-microsoft-learning-from-wga-failures-but-the-lesson-should-be-kill-it.html
Quote from the link: "The introduction of Microsoft's Windows Genuine Advantage (WGA) anti-piracy program was met with emotions ranging from indifference to outright anger by legitimate Windows users. Certainly those who were falsely accused of pirating Windows had something to be upset about, as did the people who suffered from the service being unavailable earlier this year. Even those that have not been caught in the WGA snare are uncomfortable with it: the idea of a low-level system process watching your system for signs of piracy so it can reduce the functionality of your system is just a little Orwellian."
Posted by chips | November 26, 2007 7:40 PM