What Vista SP2 Means to Seven
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News Analysis. I'm downloading Windows Vista Service Pack 2 and blogging while I wait. SP2 foreshadows earlier rather than later Windows 7 release. |
[Editor's Note: I will blog several shorter posts today so that I can follow new mobile phone announcements and begin Windows Vista Service Pack 2 testing.]
The beta update is available to MSDN and TechNet subscribers for Windows Server 2008 R2 as well as Vista.
This week's deafening buzz about Vista SP2 delivery in April is wasted noise. Who really cares about when this service pack is going to release? Certainly not the majority of businesses, which are running Windows XP and not Vista. What matters more is what the service pack foreshadows about Windows 7.
It's coming, baby, and barring any major development glitches, by summerand that's my expressing caution. Development is going even brisker, methinks. But before I get off down that path, something else: There's a real efficiency about how Microsoft is cranking out these service packs. It's a huge improvement over the pre-Vista days and another team managing operations. The new management crewwell, they're not so new anymorehas set a fast development pace and delivered the goods.
Service Pack 1 fixed lots of Vista compatibility and (some) performance gotchas. I didn't hear much compliment from enterprises. Did you? Now SP2 is in betafor MSDN and TechNet subscribers, anywayand tracking for release about a year after SP1. The first service pack released nearly 14 months after Vista was made publicly available. The second service pack is tracking for release about 12 months after the first one. Yeah, that's pretty efficient.
I'm surprised that Microsoft's Windows client team doesn't get more credit for keeping these updates on pace and the SPs causing minimal complications when deployed. There will always be troublethat's just how software is going to bebut no tidal wave sweeping across enterprises.
I call out this efficiency, because it should instill some confidence in enterprises about Windows 7 and Windows Server 2008 R2. Most of the people who brought you the nuclear application incompatibility bomb called Windows Vista no longer work for Microsoft, orif they donot for the desktop client team. The managers working on Windows 7 are the same folks that brought you Vista Service Pack 1 and soon SP2.
As I warned yesterday, Vista's bad perceptions may follow Seven. But not if people really pay attention to how efficient Windows development has become under the newer management.
That brings me back to the topic of deliverables. All this efficiencyand lots of shared codemeans that SP2 for Windows Vista and Windows Server 2008 R2 development proceed in lockstep and no more than a couple meters ahead of Seven. If that SP2 release is beta now, Windows 7 beta isn't far behind. More importantly, final release of SP2 won't be too far ahead of Seven reaching its big milestonemaybe even a release candidate.
Or maybe you think I'm wrong, and this new Windows client team isn't as efficient as I claim. What do you think? Please share in comments or by e-mail.
Update: Microsoft will provide MSDN Developer Conference road show attendees with Windows 7 Beta 1 DVDs. Early attendees will get DVDs later; Microsoft plans to provide DVDs to attending participants from Jan. 13.
[Please send your tips or rumors to watchtips at live.com].


Comments (23)
I think efficiency of an SP release, really is a measure of where they draw the line on the number and severity of the bugs they fix. I get the impression they chose to fix a few high severity bugs, rather than chase down more medium severity annoyances. Perhaps this is a sign of good sense. Perhaps this is a sign of the slowing pace of Windows system development. To me most of Vista's big problems weren't bugs but deliberate feature decisions like DRM, WGA and such. The real test of Windows 7, I think, will be how many of these anti-consumer features remain in the product.
Posted by smist08 | December 2, 2008 7:56 PM
Joe,
Your use of methinks is really starting to detract from your points. Please do your best to cut back on using this phrase.
Thanks!
-jay
Posted by Jay | December 2, 2008 8:31 PM
Service packs are always a good thing, but lets hope that Vista service pack 2 is better than XP service pack 3 which caused some problems. My only hope for the sake of the consumers (and Microsoft) is that Vista SP2 is well tested before release.
Joe, we will be looking to hear your comments on SP2. If everything goes well, it could be a bellwether to how well Windows 7 goes.
I don't believe however, service pack 2 will do anything to stimulate sales of Vista. It could make existing Vista users feel that the OS is still relevant and maybe try to put some peoples fears at ease.
Actually the big news for April is Ubuntu 9.04 with promising new exciting features. Much of the computer world is buzzing already about this much anticipated release.
I really do look for a worthy successor to Windows XP. Vista (in my opinion wasn't ). Regardless either way I will continue to use Linux.
Now on a very positive note for Microsoft.
Windows Server 2008 got some very high marks and even one of the administrators of the Ubuntu forums praised it! In fact he replaced it with XP as his desktop.
http://ubuntuforums.org/showthread.php?t=889367&highlight=windows+server
If what I read is correct, and IF Windows 7 is based from Windows Server. Then Microsoft will have their worthy successor to Windows XP.
If Windows 7 continues with Vista and the included DRM and bloat like some are speculating...then it will have another turkey on its hands.
As they say stay tuned.
Posted by Ralph | December 2, 2008 10:01 PM
"But not if people really pay attention to how efficient Windows development has become under the newer management."
Nobody cares how efficient the Windows Client team are, all they care about is application and hardware compatibility, not having to learn something new and maybe even getting a feature that would make their life easier.
"Most of the people who brought you the nuclear application incompatibility bomb called Windows Vista no longer work for Microsoft, or—if they do—not for the desktop client team."
Again, nobody cares who they are or who they work for. The driver and application incompatibility is already done, do you think they are going to revert to XP API's? Apps and drivers that work with Vista will work with 7, ones that don't work now will not work with 7. Thats why Ballmer et al were saying you should upgrade to Vista now, if you can make it work with Vista then it will work with 7. If you go from XP to 7 then you will have the same problems as XP to Vista.
If you think the big selling point of 7 will be "we have a really efficient client team", then I think you are wrong. Most people don't know what a client is and why it would matter if the team was efficient.
The best features of 7 seem to be, its less bloated than Vista (ie we stripped a lot of crap that wasn't needed), and the new taskbar that was not copied off Apple at all. Things like slow file copy and application compatibility are not going to be fixed.
Posted by billybob | December 3, 2008 7:20 AM
"Windows Server 2008 got some very high marks and even one of the administrators of the Ubuntu forums praised it! In fact he replaced it with XP as his desktop." So, he still prefers XP to Windows Server 2008.
Perhaps you meant "Windows Server 2008 got some very high marks and even one of the administrators of the Ubuntu forums praised it! In fact he replaced XP with it as his desktop."
Posted by Ed Welgar | December 3, 2008 7:31 AM
@Ralph,
Great points there. To me (and I presume you) 99.9999% could be using a Windows platform and Id still use Linux, since I am happy and comfortable with it.
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Windows 7 has got so many barriers to break down. Forgetting for a minute the bad PR behind Vista, Windows 7 is claiming (like Vista did) to be all things for all people.
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MS still cant resist adding more features though and Id guess for every one they remove in the spirit of anti-bloat they will add another. Look at this touchscreen sillyness that seems to be a selling point for it. Who honestly considers that an essential feature, when as Vista has shown people want a compact,fast,reliable OS. The bells and whistles can be added once the system is stable IMO.
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Windows 7 is also claiming fast load times, and I saw one source claiming that MS is aiming for 15 seconds.....er hello? Microsoft? you there? Thats firstly not an important feature, as I (and Im sure most) would consider anything less than 30 seconds very good, whilst MS have been getting themselves all excited for a 15 second bloatfest, they have failed to notice their "record" has already been beaten.
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Again, Im using a statement I made a few weeks ago: "Too little too late"
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Ubuntu Jaunty will be out in April, and I believe this will be a turning point for the Linux platform. With 6month release schedule that Canonical has, Id expect atleast one more release before Win 7 has even hit the shelves, what will the market be like then for MS?
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Good luck Microsoft, I sincerely mean that.
Posted by Goblin | December 3, 2008 8:02 AM
Reading some comments it's clear that people still don't get what Vista was all about.
If Windows 7 will be a good OS that's only because Microsoft made some though choices in Vista that might not have paid back right away but they will in Windows 7.
Many will say that Windows 7 is what Vista was supposed to be... yes in a fantasy world, in real world things are thougher and require intermediate steps to get it all right (or you guys have just forgotten how ridicolous was OS X until Tiger?).
Anyway to go back to topic I'm downloading Vista x64 with SP2 right now and I'll test it on a MacBook, I'm interested in the Wifi and BT fixes/improvements (no need to install Bootcamp drivers/utilities to test what I'm interested in).
Posted by EnricoG | December 3, 2008 8:43 AM
First of all how is this a surprise?
Windows 95, a real overhaul since 3.X, was flawed
Windows 98 (and 98SE) fixed that.
Windows ME, a real overhaul since 98, was flawed
Windows XP fixed that
Windows Vista, a real overhaul again was flawed.
Seven will probably fix that.
They tend to get things right the second time around. Not that that's an excuse, but looking back it seems to be a fact.
Secondly in response to Joe: "Or maybe you think I'm wrong, and this new Windows client team isn't as efficient as I claim."
The service packs ease the pain, they do not fix it. They usually bring new features too. SP2 or 3 usually brings features that are incorporated in the next OS too. So this is somewhat of a test of Sevens features. Also they are showing commitment to the people that have bought Vista.
Posted by Charlie | December 3, 2008 9:08 AM
Goblin :wrote
"Great points there. To me (and I presume you) 99.9999% could be using a Windows platform and Id still use Linux, since I am happy and comfortable with it."
----------------------------------------------------
I still use XP occasionally and even Mac OS X Tiger on my IMac as well as Linux.
I really like the style and the concept of the IMac's cube TV all in one design even though it must be approaching eight or nine years old. I use it as a spare computer in the spare room. But beyond that I really see nothing real special about Mac. Its nice and simple to operate. I recommend getting a older IMac with OS X Tiger, they can be had for $100 or so on E-bay or a outdoor flea market maybe for less.
Still overall I think Linux is much more responsive overall. Also I don't notice any memory leakage with Linux and have ran the computer for weeks at a time. And I have wireless working fine on my Linux laptops.
Posted by Ralph | December 3, 2008 9:13 AM
Joe,
'methinks' is a bad English, please avoid using this in IT blogs.
Posted by srinivas | December 3, 2008 9:37 AM
Shakespeare used "methinks" a few times in Hamlet:
http://shakespeare.mit.edu/hamlet/full.html
"But, soft! methinks I scent the morning air."
"The lady protests too much, methinks."
"Methinks it is like a weasel."
If you think the Bard wrote "bad English", well, a lot of people are going to disagree with you.
Methinks thou dost protest too much.
Posted by Bob | December 3, 2008 10:35 AM
"'methinks' is a bad English..."
Methinks your glass house is stocked with stones.
Posted by Mike | December 3, 2008 11:01 AM
Why pay for Windows when Linux is free ??
Ubuntu does everything most people want.
Posted by Jim | December 3, 2008 11:38 AM
I heard Windows 7 referred to as 'aka vista sp2' - being that it's based on vista. I guess it'll be vista sp3 based on this article.
but if you are basing it on vista at all, why will it be accepted any better than vista?
Posted by Mike Renna | December 3, 2008 12:04 PM
These articles are always fun to read. My philosophy on all newly released MS software is that it is essentially still a beta product until SP1. If I get 7, and hopefully it won't be the disaster that Visa is, I will still wait for Windows 7 SP1. When MS releases 7 to the public for general consumption, it will still be a beta product until it gets SP1.
That is just my experience in general with all MS software, not just Vista.
Posted by JM | December 3, 2008 12:11 PM
@Mike
I would say a vast majority here (including myself) have not tried any beta of Window 7 and like everyone else are just reading about it.
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We dont know exactly how MS is developing its Windows 7, and we wont until we try the version that hits the shelves next year.
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The problem is MS doesnt exactly put its hands up about Vista, the ms shillers wont answer any questions and simply place advertisments with conflicting comments.
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Many people call Windows 7, Vista SP3. We will see but whatever Windows 7 is or isnt, MS is slowly loosing its market share to all the companies/platforms that have an interest in the PC O/S. Because MS has so many products, its being attacked on all sides by companies who are seen (rightly or wrongly) as more fashionable, reliable & IMO trustworthy than MS.
Posted by Goblin | December 3, 2008 12:14 PM
Some corrections Joe.
Windows Server 2008 R2 is actually (Windows Server 7), you made some mix up with Windows Server 2008 SP1.
Posted by Andre Da Costa | December 3, 2008 8:01 PM
@Andre
Andre said "Some corrections Joe.
Windows Server 2008 R2 is actually (Windows Server 7), you made some mix up with Windows Server 2008 SP1."
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Maybe thats because he lives in the IT bubble (as per your previous post)
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Nice to see you back Andre, you've reminded me, I need to get over to your blog and order some Nike trainers as an Xmas present.
MS still not responded to, or fixed the spaming problem on their/your site? You asked them a while ago didnt you? Maybe it will "be better next time".
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All the best Andre. - Maybe you should consider Wordpress as a more suitable place for your blog?
Posted by Goblin | December 3, 2008 8:34 PM
"Who really cares about when this service pack is going to release? Certainly not the majority of businesses, which are running Windows XP and not Vista."
Many businesses will be running Server 2008. Server 2008 is actually a pretty good product.
Server 2008 shares the same codebase as vista so SP2 (essentially SP1 for server 2008) will be noticed by businesses
Sp2 will include the RTM version of Hyper-V amongst over things
Posted by James Bennet | December 7, 2008 7:23 PM
So now Joe Willcox is predicting that Seven will come out this summer, and as I have said early June, maybe even sooner.
Windows Seven needs to come out soon, even though it will be a ripoff of Vista with a fresh coat of paint. Some improvements, I would hope so. Worth paying for, no, no, no H**l no.
And why will MS rush out Windows Seven? Here's why:
Microsoft Market Share Slips: Pressure's On for Windows 7 and IE8
http://www.cio.com/article/467916/Microsoft_Market_Share_Slips_Pressure_s_On_for_Windows_and_IE_
Quote: "Not only was the November percentage drop for Windows the biggest in two years, but Windows market share dipped below a number where it has historically held tight: 90 percent. According to Web metrics company, Net Applications, Windows market share as of Dec. 1 is 89.6 percent.
Meanwhile, Mac OS X posted its largest gain in two years, with 8.9 percent market share at the end of November."
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A trend has been established, users are moving away from Vista to alternatives, and rightly so. While Mac has doubled in size since the advent of Vista, Linux has more than tripled or come close to quadrupled, if the figures from Net Applications are accurate, which I for one, have reservations about.
Posted by chips b malroy | December 8, 2008 6:29 PM
At my company, we are coming to a close on our "Desktop 2007" project, which involved upgrading over 1500 users to Windows Vista. With the exception of issues with our proprietary software, Vista is amazing for our business. Personally, I am in IS User Support, and it's much easier dealing with the Vista machines than the <1% of our end users still on Win2K. Yes, I know I am comparing 2k to vista, and not xp to vista, but I'm just working with what we have. Vista Enterprise SP1 has been a very solid platform for us to work with, both as an end user, and as someone who supports it.
In regards to the "methinks," it is not BAD english...it's derived from Middle and Old English. The fact that it is outdated and not commonly used doesn't negate the fact that can still be grammatically correct within a modern sentence. I agree it sounds goofy, but it's not wrong. I do not feel it detracted from the overall impact of the article.
Posted by mjesenovec | December 9, 2008 5:23 PM
Seriously, who the hell says methinks anymore? Do you say in casual conversation with your friends and family? "Methinks I need some more pizza."
Really, stop doing it from now on and while your at it, when you get mad at someone, don't end it with sir. Thank you.
Posted by Asmodeus | December 18, 2008 9:22 PM
vista is great i think you should give it a try. has never let me down and have never had any issues with it. stop nagging and upgrade your hardware. its been 8 long years with xp and its time for a change. thank you.
Posted by vista lover | April 15, 2009 10:52 PM